-
Do việc rút lại Vương quốc Anh từ
các EU, the removal of UK volumes which represent
about 15% of overall Châu Âu sales, has a
substantial impact on Europe registrations , showing a further drop
to 11.2 million units despite prediction of increased sales volumes
in this economic recovery. -
Sự phục hồi sau tác động của COVID-19 đối với Châu Âu
thị trường is expected to continue for a few years, with
volumes rising to 11.9 million units in 2023, before stagnating
between 11.9 and 12.3 million units up to 2033. - Trong khi ở Trung hoa đại lục, the economic recovery
and expansion of the industry are expected to continue during the
coming decade, with the sales of passenger cars forecast to go over
30 million units in 2033, representing an annualized average rate
of growth of 3.0% from 2020.
For the expanding mainland China market and the stagnating
European market, a substantial transformation of the industry is
expected during the coming decade. This is primarily related to the
acceleration of the electrification of passenger cars, driven by
the new energy vehicles (NEV) mandate in mainland China and the
gradual tightening of fleet CO2 regulations imposed on
manufacturers in the EU. In Europe, new fleet CO2
targets to be introduced in 2025 and 2030 are expected to spur a
drastic transition toward electrified vehicles. While the combined
share of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid
electric vehicles (PHEVs) in 2021 is already substantial, at 15.8%,
it is expected to reach around half of the market (49.8%) in 2030,
while mild hybrid electric vehicles (MHEVs) [34.2% in 2030]
partially compensate for the collapse of internal combustion engine
(ICE) vehicles (64.1% in 2021 to 1.6% in 2030).
In mainland China, the shift toward electrified powertrain
technologies is embodied by the combined share of BEVs and PHEVs
increasing from 10.0% in 2021 to just over one-third of the market
(36.2%) in 2030. At the same time, the currently ubiquitous ICE
vehicles, with and without stop-start system, are expected to
plummet from four out of five sales (80.2%) to just one in eight
(12.4%) sales, predominantly replaced by MHEVs at 38.9% in
2030.
In both markets, this shift toward low-emission vehicles is
enabled by a considerable increase in the number of plug-in models
available for sale, as manufacturers gradually expand their product
portfolio to offer these vehicles in most of the segments. While
mainland China is expected to have a larger number of plug-in
models on offer, this is partly due to the size of the market and
the wide variety of brands present there. But for both regions,
these plug-in models are expected to represent about half of the
models for sale by the end of the decade, a testament to the
predicted ubiquity of electrified vehicles in the coming years.
Download our latest
whitepaper
Our Battery cost trends in the European Union and mainland China
whitepaper addresses a critical topic of cost parity between BEVs
and ICE: stop/start based on a thorough examination of vehicles
with various battery capacities and engine configurations. It also
discusses the prospects for the European and mainland China
markets, focusing on the rate of electrification.
- 11
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