Phân tích kỹ thuật GBPUSD - Các mức quan trọng trước quyết định của BoE

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Đô la Mỹ

Fed giữ nguyên lãi suất như mong đợi
while dropping the tightening bias in the statement but adding a slight
pushback against a March rate cut.
Fed Chair Powell stressed that they want to see
more evidence of inflation falling back to target and that a rate cut in March
is not their base case.
The latest US GDP beat expectations by a big
margin.
The US PCE came mostly in line with
expectations with the Core 3-month and 6-month annualised rates falling below
the Fed’s 2% target.
The US Job Openings surprised to the upside
although the hiring and quit rates remain below pre-pandemic levels.
The latest US PMIs beat expectations by a
big margin for both the Manufacturing and Services measures.
The US Retail Sales beat expectations
trên bảng.
The US Consumer Confidence report came in
line with expectations, but the labour market details improved considerably.
Thị trường hiện kỳ vọng đợt cắt giảm lãi suất đầu tiên vào tháng 5.

GBP

The BoE left interest rates
unchanged as expected at the last meeting with no dovish language as they
reaffirmed that they will keep rates high for sufficiently long to return to
the 2% target.
The latest employment report showed
job losses in December and lower than expected wage growth.
The UK CPI beat expectations across
the board, which is going to reinforce the BoE’s neutral stance.
The latest UK PMIs showed the
Manufacturing sector improving but remaining in contraction while the Services
sector continues to expand.
The latest UK Retail Sales missed
kỳ vọng trên diện rộng bằng một biên độ lớn khi chi tiêu của người tiêu dùng vẫn
Yếu.
The market expects the BoE to start
cutting rates in May.

Phân tích kỹ thuật GBPUSD –
Khung thời gian hàng ngày

GBPUSD hàng ngày

Trên biểu đồ hàng ngày, chúng ta có thể thấy rằng GBPUSD keeps trading inside the range
between the 1.2610 support and 1.2800 resistance. The price is currently
approaching the support level where we can expect the buyers to step in with a
defined risk below the level to position for another rally into the resistance.
Mặt khác, người bán sẽ muốn thấy giá phá vỡ mức thấp hơn
invalidate the bullish setup and position for a drop into the next support
around the 1.25 handle.

Phân tích kỹ thuật GBPUSD –
Khung thời gian 4 giờ

GBPUSD 4 giờ

Trên biểu đồ 4 giờ, chúng ta có thể thấy rằng giá
yesterday rallied into the downward trendline and got rejected as the sellers
stepped in to position for a drop into the support. The momentum then picked up
as the Fed resulted a bit more hawkish than expected and today, we can expect
some action around the support as we get the BoE rate decision and some key US
dữ liệu.

Phân tích kỹ thuật GBPUSD –
Khung thời gian 1 giờ

GBPUSD 1 giờ

Trên biểu đồ 1 giờ, chúng ta có thể thấy rằng chúng ta
have a steep downward trendline defining the current bearish impulse. If we do
see a bounce from the support, we can expect even more buyers piling in on a
break above the trendline as a confirmation for a change in momentum.

Sự kiện sắp tới

Today we have the BoE rate
decision where the central bank is expected to keep everything unchanged and
later on, we will see the latest US Jobless Claims figures and the ISM
Manufacturing PMI. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the US NFP report.