کلیئرڈ سویپ والیوم اور شیئر - 1Q 2021

افلاطون کے ذریعہ دوبارہ شائع کیا گیا۔

فالونگ: 0

امریکی ڈالر IRS with record volume in 1Q 2021, LCH share up YoY
SOFR Swaps at new highs, LCH dominant, سی ایم ای share higher than in IRS
EUR IRS volumes up, یورییکس share up YoY as it’s gains continue
€STR Swaps a record month, LCH dominant, Eurex share higher than in IRS
JPY Swaps volumes up, JSCC and LCH share close to parity
AUD Swaps remain subdued, 1Q volumes generally trend higher at LCH
iTraxx Europe, volumes up, market share largely similar
Single-name in Euro, ICE Clear Credit share gains over ICE Clear Europe
Swaptions volume at LCH CDSClear and ICE Clear Credit

USD IRS

سے سی سی پی ویو، امریکن روپے IRS صرف، تو چھوڑ کر OIS، بنیاد، ZC، VNS اور FRAs۔

1Q 2021 with $25.9 trillion, a record quarter and up 30% from the $19.9 trillion in 1Q2020
LCH SwapClear with $24.4 trillion, a share of 94.5% in 1Q 2021, similar to 4Q 2020 but up from 89% in 1Q 2020
سی ایم ای وٹیسی with $1.4 trillion a share of 5.5%, similar to 4Q 2020 but down from 11% in 1Q 2020
پر کلائنٹ کے حجم کا موازنہ کرنا LCH CME کے ساتھ سویپ کلیئر وٹیسی volumes (assuming all CME volume is client), LCH SwapClear with $10.6 trillion and CME OTC with $1.4 trillion, a share of 88% vs 12%

So we continue to see new record volumes in USD Swaps with March 2021 itself a record month in gross notional terms. However in DV01 risk terms, March 2020 with $9 billion exceeded the $8.4 billion in March 2021.

USD OIS

راتوں رات انڈیکس کی تبدیلیاں جو FedFunds یا SOFR کا حوالہ دیتے ہیں۔

1Q 2020 with $12.1 trillion, up from the $7.3 trillion in 4Q 2020, but far below the record $37 trillion in 1Q 2020
LCH SwapClear with $11.4 trillion a share of 94.4%, down QoQ from 96% and YoY 98.3%
CME OTC with $675 billion a share of 5.6%, up QoQ from 3.9% and YoY from 1.7%
Comparing LCH SwapClear client volumes with CME OTC shows $7.8 trillion vs $675 billion or 92.1% vs 7.9%

OIS Swap volumes on the up for three consecutive quarters, but just one third of the record highs in 3Q 2019 and 1Q 2020.

SOFR تبادلہ

تبادلہ جو SOFR کا حوالہ دیتے ہیں، OIS اور Basis دونوں۔

SOFR سویپ والیومز (ملینوں میں یک طرفہ تصور)

Feb 2021 with $700 billion, a new record high, with Mar 2021 not far behind with $610 billion single sided gross notional.
LCH SwapClear with 91% share and CME OTC with 9% over the 12 month period

So while 1Q 2021 shows good growth over 4Q 2020 in gross notional terms, it’s DV01 of $930 million is below the $1.1 billion in 4Q 2020 (the quarter when LCH and CME changed to SOFR discounting and conducted auctions).

CME share in SOFR is materially higher than it’s share in IRS or OIS.

EUR IRS

EUR IRS صرف، تو چھوڑ کر OIS، بنیاد، ZC، VNS اور FRAs۔

1Q 2021 with €11.1 trillion, up from €10.4 trillion in 4Q 2020 but down from €13.1 trillion in 1Q 2020
LCH SwapClear €10.4 ٹریلین حصص کے ساتھ 93.8%، QoQ 89.4% سے اوپر لیکن 96% سے نیچے
یورییکس €680 بلین حصص کے ساتھ 6.1%، QoQ 10.2% سے نیچے لیکن 3.9% سے سالانہ اوپر
صرف کلائنٹ کے حجم کا موازنہ کرتے ہوئے، ہم دیکھتے ہیں کہ 4.1Q 1 میں €2021 ٹریلین کے ساتھ LCH SwapClear، €300 بلین کے ساتھ Eurex اور €6.6 بلین کے ساتھ CME OTC، 93.1Q 6.7 کے حصص کے مقابلے میں متعلقہ حصص، 0.1%، 1% اور 2020% بناتے ہیں۔ 96.8%، 3.1% اور 0.1%۔

EUR Swap volumes now with the second consecutive quarter of higher volumes breaking the down trend of the prior three quarters.

Eurex gaining market share with 6.1% in 1Q 2021 up from 3.9% a year earlier. Specific months with much higher share e.g. Nov 2020 with 16.2% and Mar 2021 with 8.9%, so one to watch closely in upcoming months.

EUR OIS

راتوں رات انڈیکس اس حوالہ کو تبدیل کرتا ہے۔ ایونیا یا €STR۔

1Q 2021 with €6.1 trillion, down from €8.1trillion in 4Q 2020 and €11.6 trillion in 1Q 2020
LCH SwapClear with €6 trillion a share of 97.4%, similar QoQ but slightly down YoY from 98.6%
Eurex €162 بلین حصص کے ساتھ 2.6%، QoQ 2.3% سے اور 1.4% سے YoY
صرف کلائنٹ کے حجم کا موازنہ کرتے ہوئے، ہم دیکھتے ہیں کہ 3.3Q 1 میں €2021 ٹریلین کے ساتھ LCH SwapClear، €52 بلین کے ساتھ Eurex، متعلقہ حصص بناتا ہے، 98.4Q 1.6 کے حصص کے مقابلے میں 1% بمقابلہ 2020% 99.2% بمقابلہ 0.7%۔

While Eurex share in OIS of 2.6% is up the 1.4% a year earlier, it remains much smaller than it’s IRS share of 6.1% in the most recent quarter.

€STR تبادلہ

تبادلہ جو €STR کا حوالہ دیتے ہیں، OIS اور Basis دونوں۔

ESTR سویپ والیومز (ملین یورو میں یک طرفہ تصور)

Mar 2021 a record month with €278 billion of single sided gross notional.
LCH SwapClear with 71.6% share and Eurex with 28.4% over the 12 month period, with significant variation month to month.

Noteworthy that Eurex share is so much higher in €STR than OIS (Eonia) or IRS (Euribor) swaps. Possibly the fact that €STR is a new reference index for swaps my have something to do with it, but as Eonia is now just fixed at €STR + 8.5bps, that does not seem a compelling enough reason. Could it be inertia with the much larger Eonia risk at LCH meaning participants prefer new OIS to keep referencing Eonia? Or could more recent particpants at Eurex have a preference for €STR over Eonia?

JPY تبادلہ

JPY تمام اقسام، IRS، OIS، Basis، ZC، VNS کو تبدیل کرتا ہے۔

JPY Swaps volume (single-sided notional in jpy millions)

1Q 2021 with Y460 trillion, up from Y282 trillion in 4Q 2020 and similar to the Y457 trillion in 1Q 2020
JSCC with Y245 trillion or 53.2% in 1Q 2021, down from 57.7% in 4Q 2020 and 57% in 1Q2020
LCH SwapClear with Y215 trillion or 46.6% in 1Q 2021, up from 42.2% QoQ and 43% YoY
LCH SwapClear client volume in 1Q 2021 was Y112 trillion, 52% of it’s overall volume.

JPY Swap volumes now climbing back up to the corresponding quarter in 2020 and firmly breaking the downward trend of the prior three quarters.

JSCC larger than LCH SwapClear, but losing 4% share from a year earlier, possibly down to internationals vs domestic participants trading activity.

AUD تبادلہ

AUD تمام اقسام، IRS، OIS، Basis، ZC، VNS کو تبدیل کرتا ہے۔

AUD سویپس والیوم (ایک طرفہ تصور A$ ملین میں)

1Q 2021 with A$4.6 trillion, down from A$6.1 trillion in 4Q 2020 and the record $23.3 trillion in 1Q 2020, volumes continuing their downward drift as the RBA interest rate policy dampens market demand for swaps
LCH SwapClear with A$4.1 trillion or 91.1% in 1Q 2021, up from 84.3% QoQ (4Q 2020) but similar to the 91.7% in 1Q 2020)
ASX with A$400 billion or 8.8%, down from 15.6% QoQ and 8.3% YoY
LCH SwapClear client volume in 1Q 2021 was A$1.8 trillion or 44%, compared to 55% in 3Q 2020.

So the AUD Swaps market with 12 months of significantly lower volume. Looking at 1Q in each of the past three years, LCH SwapClear market share in this quarter is always higher at 90%, most likely down to Australian holidays and less domestic vs international activity, compared to other quarters where it averages 85%.

CAD اور GBP تبادلہ

میں عام طور پر CAD اور GBP سویپس کا احاطہ کرتا ہوں (دیکھیں۔ جلدیں – 3Q 2020), however will skip this time; my excuse being the charts lack color with LCH SwapClear > 99% share and time is short for me to complete this blog.

یقیناً آپ میں سے ان کے ساتھ سی سی پی ویو رسائی حاصل کر سکتے ہیں، لاگ ان کر سکتے ہیں اور جلدوں کو خود چیک کر سکتے ہیں۔ سبسکرپشن کے بغیر اور دلچسپی رکھنے والوں کے لیے، براہ کرم ایسا کریں۔ ہم سے رابطہ تفصیلات کے لئے.

تو آئیے مسابقتی مارکیٹ شیئر کے ساتھ ایک سویپ پروڈکٹ کے ساتھ ملیں۔

کریڈٹ پہلے سے طے شدہ تبادلہ

انڈیکس - iTraxx یورپ فیملی

Credit Index Swaps in EUR (single-sided notional in eur millions)

1Q 2021 with €1.8 trillion, up from €1.35 trillion in 4Q 2020 and down from €2.7 trillion in 1Q 2020
ICE Clear Credit with €1.05 trillion in 1Q 2021, a share of 58.4%, down QoQ from 55.2% and similar to 1Q 2020
ICE Clear Europe with €479 billion, a share of 26.8%, compared to 27.4% in the prior quarter and 28.7% a year earlier
LCH CDSClear with €265 billion, a share of 14.8%, compared to 17.4% in the prior quarter and 12.8% a year earlier.

یورو میں واحد نام

CDS Single-name in EUR (single-sided notional in eur millions)

1Q 2021 €105 بلین کے ساتھ، 70Q 4 میں €2020 بلین اور 95Q 1 میں €2020 بلین سے زیادہ
50Q 1 میں €2021 بلین کے ساتھ ICE کلیئر کریڈٹ، 47.8% کا حصہ، QoQ 33% سے اوپر اور 35Q 1 میں 2020%
ICE Clear Europe with €29.5 billion, a share of 28.1%, compared to 42% in the prior quarter and 40.2% a year earlier
LCH CDSClear with €25.3 billion, a share of 24.1%, compared to 25% in the prior quarter and 24.8% a year earlier.

جلدوں میں کی منظوری دے دی single-name in Euro at €105 billion, an order of magnitude lower than the €1.8 trillion in Credit Indices in Euro.

Market share in Index with no material change, while in single-name ICE Clear Credit gaining from ICE Clear Europe; possibly a by product of Brexit and akin to the move to SEFs that we have 2021 میں مشاہدہ کیا گیا۔.

Index and single-name in USD

As ICE Clear Credit has over 97% share, I am going to invoke the same defense as in the CAD & GBP section above; the lack of color making my time remaining vs effort vs value equation fall below today’s threshold.

So onto the last chart before we end.

iTraxx Swaptions

LCH CDSClear with €6.9 billion in Mar 2021 and volume in every single month in the past year bar Aug-2020 (a European holiday effect to add to the Australian one we noted in the AUD Swaps section)

ICE Clear Credit has some volume in Swaptions on کے بلاگ.” class=”glossaryLink ” target=”_blank”>CDX.NA.IG, on 9 different days since commencement in Nov 2020, with Mar 2021 the most active with 6 days with volume and $2.65 billion in Feb 2021 and $2.4 billion in Mar 2021, so will be interesting to see how this progresses relative to iTraxx.