WTL 2023 Summer — итоги первой недели/обзор недели 4

автор: Накаджин

WTL Summer kept bringing on the surprises in Week 3—or at least, the Starving Camels did. The underdog squad forced BASILISK all the way to an ace match, further establishing their wild card credentials. The other surprise of the week was PSISTORM's 2-4 loss to Platinum Heroes, which may have started a crisis for last season's 3rd place team. PSISTORM owner KJ написал в твиттере что грядут изменения в составе, и нам довольно любопытно, кто будет подкреплением.

В преддверии 5-й недели главный матч, похоже, будет Shopify против Team Liquid. TL показали хорошие результаты с тех пор, как добавили SKillous, но ловко проиграли в своем самом сложном матче против ONSYDE. Победа над Shopify показала бы нам, что эта команда TL действительно поднялась по сравнению с предыдущими сезонами и может держаться с командами плей-офф.

Also, the Starving Camels are on upset watch again as they go up against ABYDOS. Perhaps ABYDOS didn't get the memo that SSLT are the most dangerous team in the league at the moment, deploying Mondo over NightMare or DRG. This gives the Camels a chance to force another ace match against a stronger opponent, or even get the win.

Итоги 4-й недели

Пятерка лучших команд выходит в плей-офф.
Две худшие команды должны пройти переквалификацию.
Очки начисляются следующим образом:

• 3 очка за победу в серии, не требующей айз-матча
  
• 2 очка за победу в серии, требующей айс-матча
  
• 1 очко за поражение в серии, требующей айз-матча
  
• 0 очков за проигрыш в серии, не требующей матча туза

瘦死骆驼 (Голодные верблюды) 3 - 4 ВАСИЛИСК
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After some scheduling confusion, TooDming and Trigger opened the 4th week of WTL Summer (the Liquipedia graphic above lists the 'official' match order, but the actual match order was TooDming vs Firefly, Silky vs Serral, and then Firefly vs Reynor).

Things were seemingly benign for the Protoss player going through his build progression in game one, but only because he didn't realize the impending danger. Trigger only found out about TooDming's Roach-Bane all-in when it already reached the middle point of the map, and he ended up losing his vulnerable third base after panic-warping units behind some defensive sim city. Despite this, Trigger still had a card to play by hunkering down on defense and playing for a longer game, but he misread ToodMing's intentions once again. Trigger stepped out onto the map just as TooDming was getting ready for a second wave of attacks, which meant he ended up walking headfirst to his doom.

Looking to keep up his momentum, TooDming followed with a good old Queen-Nydus all-in on Altitude. Had his Nydus Worm been spotted a second earlier, his initial attempt in the main may not have worked, but luckily for him, hypotheticals don't go on the scorecard. TooDming took the 2-0 and put the Camels in a fantastic starting position. (By the way, just so everyone remembers they’re old, Trigger said in a post-match interview that he didn’t even know who TooDming was. Still, you figure SOMEONE who watches the WTL should have told him TooDming is one of the cheesier players.)

After stunning Shopify's ByuN with a 1-1 last week, Silky didn’t come close to delivering SSLT the needed upset this week against Serral (although we did get to see a pretty quirky Muta-into-Lurker build). Serral took the 2-0, leaving it to Reynor and Firefly to break the tie.

If one could frame a game of StarCraft and hang it like a painting, Firefly's game one against Reynor deserves a prime spot on his wall. After showing air-tight defense against Reynor's infamously slippery Lings, Firefly also pulled off a near-perfect hold against the committed Roach-Ravager-Bane-Queen attack off of cour bases. That left Firefly with four Colossus and a huge army, which he used to shove the Zerg's head under water and keep it there. For the second week in a row, Firefly had the opportunity to close a match with PvZ on Dragon scales. He chose a similar idea as last week's match versus Lambo, going for a Stargate into a greedy quick fourth with double-robo Colossus behind it. Despite his build being a bit safer than last week, Firefly could not psych out Reynor the same way he did to Lambo. Reynor's mass Roach hit while Firefly was still weak, cutting through him like a hot knife through butter.

Поскольку Серрал не был тем, кто стоит между человеком и его эго, мы увидели, как Рейнор выстроился в очередь на первоклассный матч, чтобы определить его BO3 против Firefly. Рейнор снова выбрал агрессию с дроп-харасом Roach-Ravager-Queen, который снова защищал Firefly — на этот раз с помощью жесткого контроля Blink-Stalker. Верблюды, вероятно, могли бы попробовать победу на секунду, но Светлячок увлекся преследованием, в результате чего он потерял много своих Сталкеров напрасно. Когда игра замедлилась, Рейнор продемонстрировал свою сверхъестественную способность играть сзади, создав брешь для себя с помощью Линга в главном протоссе, в то время как он толкнул четвертого своей армией Тараканов-Опустошителей. Этот ход нанес серьезный экономический ущерб, что позволило ему безопасно перейти на Vipers и чисто выиграть игру.

Overall, SSLT followed their eye-opening performance versus Shopify last week with another surprising showing, highlighted by Firefly's performance. The #7 seed and a playoff berth seems very much in play for SSLT, and taking a single point against Basilisk may end up being hugely valuable. As for Basilisk, dropping a point is far from the end of the world, but the #1 seed might become an unrealistic goal if ONSYDE continues to dominate and collect full points.

Берсеркер Киберспорт 1 - 5 АБИДОС
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Два знакомых лица возглавили атаку Берсеркера, хотя в конечном итоге это было поражение. Во-первых, Спатц сыграл относительно близкое PvP против Creator, прежде чем уйти со счетом 0-2. # 3 Финский зерг Миксу едва не выиграл ничью у Cure, поскольку его база Queen-Ling-Nydus обменяла время против Hellbat-Marauder во второй игре. Однако Cure намного лучше справился с хаотичной ситуацией и выиграл 2-0.

Continuing their rather endearing commitment to giving everyone a chance to play in the WTL, Berserker sent out their 8th different player of the season in TeebuL in the final match. The former DHM Oceania champion salvaged a point for Berserker in the very last game, thanks to every Plat-2 player's favorite build ‘’nothing into DT’’.

Команда Ликвид 5 - 1 Звездное мерцание
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Spirit and SKillous clashed in their 63rd match against each other, this time with their teams' success in the balance as well. SKillous took game one, absorbing a lot of damage and surviving some scary moments before prevailing with his Colossus-Gateway army. Looking to get the 2-0, SKillous went for a two-base Blink attack in game two. However, a bit of anti-micro saw him lose his Prism during his first attack, and he had to content himself with a 1-1 tie.

Clem did not give an inch to Nice in our second BO2 of the night. On Gresvan, Clem denied any scouting by the Protoss and surprised him with a three-rax attack for the win. Things were looking more promising for Nice on Royal Blood, with his good defense against a Mine drop giving him a shot at winning with Glaive Adept + Phoenix all-in. However, Clem seemed to sense something and stayed on mass Widow Mines, and blasted Nice's army to smithereens.

The final match opened with Cham trying to be the aggressor in the Ling-Bane phase, but he couldn’t find any holes in Elazer defense. That strong initial Ling-Bane control proved decisive as Cham's follow-up Roach attack off of 45 Drones fell just short of breaking his opponent. It was then Elazer's turn to go on the offensive in game two, and he found much more success with a similar Roach-Ling attack on 45 Drones.

Overall, it was a strong showing for TL, who are looking more and more like a safe pick to make the playoffs. As for SLT, they're running out of 'winnable' matches, and a playoff spot could be out of their grasp unless they activate SSLT mode.

ОНСАЙД Гейминг 6 - 0 восстание Shopify
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ONSYDE сохранили свой безупречный рекорд в этом сезоне, обыграв Shopify со счетом 6-0 и улучшив дифференциал карт до монстра +20.

Maru improved to 8-0 on the season with a 2-0 against Scarlett in the opener. Taking advantage of Altitude in game one, Maru busted out a battlemech composition to start. While Scarlett didn't get totally bullied, she wasn't able to impede Maru's ghost-mech transition at all, and eventually tapped out to a pre-Brood Lord timing. Game 2 was a weirdly impressive display from Scarlett, where she managed to keep things close for a while despite two absolutely boneheaded moments: losing a full hatch to three Reapers, and trading about 30 Banes for two tanks. Could she have stolen the tie otherwise? Perhaps—but as mentioned above, WTL doesn't deal in hypotheticals.

Solar and Lambo played a gentlemanly match on Gresvan to start, mirroring builds for much of the early/mid-game. Both players went for Overlord drop harass as well, but Lambo added Tunneling Claws on top of that. It seemed like the German Zerg got the better of the exchange by taking out 15 Drones, but Solar's decisiveness on the counterattack paid off. Possessing a temporarily higher Roach count, he secured a great fighting position outside of Lambo's fourth base and forced a fight that was enough to win him the game. In game two, Lambo once again found himself in an advantageous position, this time sniping Solar's third base with his early Ling pressure. But despite being a base down and on the same Drone count, Solar somehow not only kept up with Lambo's economy but actually overtook it. He expertly slipped in just a few more Drones into his army mix without exposing himself on defense. Solar then went on to defend Lambo’s Roach-Ling push, and from there rode his advantage to victory.

Ryung has yet to play a match that actually affects the outcome for ONSYDE, but he continued his quietly excellent campaign with a 2-0 over ByuN. The old fox out-positioned ByuN in two back-to-back marine-tank TvT's, completing the sweep for ONSYDE.

Инвиктус Гейминг 1 - 5 Дракон Кайзи Гейминг
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Это была еще одна предсказуемая сокрушительная потеря для iG, которые очень напряжены из-за жесткого раннего графика. herO сделал довольно интересную сборку в игре 1 против Macsed, выбрав время в середине игры с поздними Glaives после открытия DT. Это было так же интересно, как и стало — BreakingGG против Oliveira шел долго, но никогда не был особенно близок, а XY против Dark также был односторонним, как и ожидалось.Платиновые герои 4 - 2 игровых PSISTORM
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После тяжелых игр в первые три недели PSISTORM стремились набрать свои первые очки в сезоне против Platinum Heroes.

DnS’s faked an Oracle against SpeCial's Reaper scout in game one, and the mind game was perhaps the reason why SpeCial marched a Cyclone, four naked Marines, and a Medivac across the map. There, he was welcomed by a couple of Stalkers and Phoenix that cleaned up the push. SpeCial doubled down on aggression, but that only deepened the hole he had dug for himself, and the game ended in a loss. DnS's early game success continued in game two, getting the build order-win with a proxy-Gate opening versus a Reaper-expand. After dealing disastrous early damage to the Terran, DnS held off a one-base all-in from SpeCial (which did look threatening at moments), to give his team an unexpected 2-0 lead.

That gave Goblin an opportunity to close out the series with a good PvP performance against Gerald. It started well for Goblin, as Gerald panicked when he couldn’t find his opponent's hidden second Pylon and played overly defensive in game one. After figuring out he was safe Gerald tried to move out with Immortals, but Goblin chose that moment to Blink into the main, forcing a frustrated Gerald to turn back after losing a bunch of Probes. The PSISTORM Protoss tried to go for some sort of last-ditch Disruptor play, but Goblin finished the game before they could reach critical mass.

A visibly distraught Gerald had the weight of his team on his shoulders and opened game two very safely against any possible threats from his opponent. The game progressed into a similar Robo vs Blink scenario as game 1, with Goblin gearing up for a two-base killing blow while Gerald transitioned to Disruptors. Gerald put up a valiant effort on defense, but he couldn't stop Goblin's all-in attack and had to sign off on another loss for PSISTORM with his GG.

MaxPax's 2-0 over ShaDoWn came too late to change the result. All in all, it was a great result for PH and a ponderous loss for PSISTORM.

I said after last week's 2-4 defeat at the hands of ABYDOS that it was not yet time for PSISTORM to press the panic button. However, we have passed that threshold and the button has been vigorously pressed.

While we wait to see what roster changes are coming, it should be noted that there's a waiting period for new signees to become eligible to play in the WTL. The current roster needs to hold the fort until the reinforcements are allowed to play, so there should be plenty of more stressful matches ahead for PSISTORM.

Еженедельный MVP: PH.DNS

In a week full of one-sided matches, it was hard to pinpoint our ace. Reynor did manage an ace win, but considering he was a heavy favorite going into his match, it would be wrong to crown him. Conversely, Firefly did steal the best 1-1 tie of the week against Reynor, but he can't be MVP with an overall negative 1-2 record.

Elazer and Goblin put in valuable 2-0 performances for their teams, but I think another 2-0 winner had the bigger impact: Platinum Heroes' DnS. The Frenchman's 2-0 victory over SpeCial, who is ostensibly PSISTORM's second best player, was the main reason PH managed to prevail. While PSISTORM's losing streak might be what stands out first, it was also a crucial win for the Heroes that put them a step ahead of Berserker and IG in avoiding relegation.

Еженедельные MVP:

• Неделя 4. PH.DNS
  
• Неделя 3: Все на SSLT/瘦死骆驼/Голодные верблюды
  
• Неделя 2: ABYDOS.Cure
  
• Неделя 1: BASILISK.Serral

Предварительный просмотр: первая неделя регулярного сезона

Пятница, 19 мая, 12:00 по Гринвичу (GMT + 00: 00) Матчи

ONSYDE, скорее всего, продолжит свой идеальный сезон против команды Starlight Twinkle, у которой впереди трудная дорога.

Maru will be headed into his match with Nice just two days after the GSL RO4/Finals—Nice's only chance is if Maru is afflicted by a celebratory hangover or is in a catatonic despair state.

У Spirit гораздо лучший матч против Solar. Два игрока играют 50/50 друг против друга с начала года, и Spirit играет в лучший SC2 в своей карьере. Spirit еще не проиграл 0-2 в этом сезоне, в то время как Solar даже не сбросил карту. Поскольку одна из этих полос вынужденно прервется в пятницу, я склоняюсь к тому, что Spirit выиграет со счетом 1: 1, но было бы сильным заявлением, если бы Solar смогла остаться безупречной.

If Spirit does in fact take a map (or two), Ryung will have to play his first consequential match of the season against Cham. It's not the best match-up for him to draw, as TvZ has been his weakest match-up since his return from military service. Also, with the GOMTvT going on at the AfreecaTV studio, we can bet that he has probably spent the last week practicing the match-up with Maru rather than preparing for the WTL.

Превратятся ли немногие подозрения о расстройстве во что-то реальное? Сомнительно — ONSYDE блестяще справляются с аутсайдерами.

Прогноз: ONSYDE Gaming 5 - 1 Звездное мерцание

Неудобное чувство страха будет окружать наш второй матч. Этот матч против IG должен стать тем, где PSISTORM остановит свою нисходящую спираль. Они пользуются преимуществом во всех трех матчах и имеют почти гарантированную победу, если она каким-то образом добьется этого, но есть давнее беспокойство, что все может пойти ужасно неправильно, если они позволят давлению добраться до них. Если PSISTORM сможет подавить нервозность, которую они проявляли на прошлой неделе, и сыграть в свою игру, они смогут начать свое возвращение.

Прогноз: Инвиктус Гейминг 1 - 5 ПСИСТОРМ Игры

Суббота, 20 мая, 12:00 по Гринвичу (GMT + 00: 00) Матчи

Мы получаем самое первое появление Mondo в Code S! Удивительно, но не Cure получит выходной после финала четырех Code S, а Nightmare/DRG, которые находятся на скамейке запасных.

По иронии судьбы, я думаю, что после переигрывания Верблюдов подряд, они не смогут воспользоваться этой удачей. Не поймите меня неправильно, все еще есть неплохая вероятность того, что Шелковистый или Циан что-то проскользнет мимо своих противников. Но с учетом того, что Creator сейчас чертовски хорошо играет в PvZ, а Cure, возможно, является лучшим игроком в TvP в мире, ABYDOS должен быть в состоянии выдержать слабое звено на этой неделе.

Однако первоклассный матч между Cure и Firefly был бы удовольствием…

Прогноз: Starving Camels 2 - 4 Абидос

Platinum Heroes' bottomless roster strikes again, this time with HateMe and ArT making their season debut (they were mainstays in previous Heroes campaigns in the WTL). There probably won't be any fanfare for their arrival, considering DKZ are 5 to 1 favorites or better in all three matches according to Aligulac, but it’s still nice seeing the team's veterans getting a chance to play again.

Прогноз: Платиновые герои 0 - 6 ДКЗ Гейминг

Воскресенье, 21 мая, 12:00 по Гринвичу (GMT + 00: 00) Матчи

2 лучшие команды в лиге против 2 последних команд в лиге в игре должны быть решенной сделкой, но мы могли бы получить некоторое стоящее развлечение. Очевидно, что это не будет исходить от Серрала, который легко перейдет к рекорду 11-0, но Спатц может смотреть на Триггера как на человека, которого он может расстроить в хороший день.

If Spatz gets the 1-1, that could raise Rotti's stress level going into Reynor's match. Since the last WTL season, Reynor has won only two out of his fifteen regular season matches (the same as MacSed). Now I’m not saying the youngest player with $500,000 in career earnings is cursed in the WTL… …but I’m also not saying he’s NOT cursed. So, here’s to hoping he somehow breaks his 1-1 streak with a LOSS to PAPI to make this narrative as funny as possible.

Прогноз: Berserker eSport 1 - 5 ВАСИЛИСК

В то время как TL и Shopify часто выглядели одинаково сильными на бумаге, Rebellion постоянно превосходили результаты в WTL, тогда как мальчики в синем часто разочаровывали. Тем не менее, TL может изменить ситуацию в этом сезоне, особенно если они смогут победить Shopify напрямую.

SKillous opens the match against the opposing team's ace Terran once more, and will again be looking to get a 1-1 for his team. However, ByuN is even scarier than Spirit, and the maybe-new-GSL-champion should be a favorite to get the 2-0 victory.

Clem's reputation as an unbeatable TvZ player has taken some hits over the years, especially when he's played against Korea's best players. However, a closer examination of the match-up shows that in the last year, he has lost exactly one TvZ against foreigners not named Serral or Reynor. Amusingly enough, Lambo is the foreign Zerg who managed to snatch that one win, but it's buried under a mountain of many more losses to the Liquid ace. I’m ready to give this match to Clem.

Elazer and Harstem have played 40 matches and 104 games against each other in their careers, and in that span, Elazer leads by a 2:1 ratio in games (76-38). Incidentally, that's the chance Aligulac gives Elazer to win a BO3, with the statistics website predicting a 2-1 as the most likely outcome. A 2-1 needs to be a 1-1 before that, so by that logic, I’ll say Harstem manages to take the tie and force the ace match.

If that scenario comes to pass, it will be interesting to see who gets TL's vote of confidence to face Shopify's likely ace in ByuN. Clem has lost to ByuN in previous ace matches, but Elazer and SKillous aren't exactly great alternatives against a player of ByuN's caliber. Whatever choice Liquid makes, ByuN is the favorite to close it out.

Прогноз: Команда Ликвид 3 - 4 Shopify Восстание

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• Источник: https://tl.net/forum/starcraft-2/611688-wtl-2023-summer-week-4-recap-week-5-preview