Bitcoin Breakout Beyond $50K Brings Bull Market Fractal Back In View

Bitcoin price is back above $50,000 and its return to the important thing resistance stage has introduced a possible bull market fractal again into focus. The bullish fractal in query means that one other leg up within the crypto bull cycle is coming, matching the epic 2013 rally grand finale.

If the possibly repeating worth sample taking part in out equally isn’t fairly sufficient to persuade, two separate technical indicators on month-to-month timeframes additionally seem to match the situations that prompted one of many largest rallies within the cryptocurrency’s historical past.

Is A Clean Break Of $50K The Trigger To The Final Leg Up In Crypto?

Bitcoin price is back retesting $50,000 and whereas the extent itself may be a transparent phycological barrier as a result of rounded worth round midway to most long-term targets, it additionally occurs to be the median of the asset’s logarithmic development curve.

The logarithmic growth channel has held the cryptocurrency inside its boundaries for its complete existence, containing every bubble and supporting every bust.

If Bitcoin passes above the median, issues may transfer rapidly | Source: BLX on TradingView.com

Past bull market cycles have all the time concluded within the crimson zone, and the truth that the highest cryptocurrency by market cap by no means made it there may be the perfect argument for why a peak hasn’t yet occurred.

Related Reading | Weekly Bitcoin Momentum Cross Bullish For First Time Since March 2021

Whether or not the bull market has ended is heavily debated, however with Bitcoin again round $50,000 a solution ought to be close to.

Past efficiency isn’t indicative of assured future outcomes, however past Bitcoin brushing up in opposition to the log channel median, there are additionally a variety of different components that match up nearly completely.

Bitcoin Fractal Resembles 2013, Momentum And Relative Strength Also Similar

Comparing price action isn’t usually sufficient to persuade most analysts, particularly if different market situations are totally different. However, the situations surrounding the 2013 ultimate leg up and the present state of the 2021 cycle are additionally eerily comparable.

During each rallies, Bitcoin paused after passing above the log median, fell again to the 1.618 golden ratio Fib extension stage, after which made a profitable try at touching the crimson higher boundary of the log channel.

The similarities between the 2 cycles are stacking | Source: BLX on TradingView.com

The Relative Strength Index on month-to-month timeframes is also behaving equally, with Bitcoin just some grand away from blasting again into bull market territory – a zone it spent little or no time in comparative to the 2017 bull market.

The RSI making a double prime with a decrease excessive to type a bearish divergence would sign the tip to the bull run.

Related Reading | Why An Ongoing Bullish Bitcoin “Retest” Might Result In New Highs

The LMACD, the log-based model of the MACD, a momentum software, is also exhibiting an identical upward flip after a close to crossover. Such a transfer is distinctly bullish, and sometimes leads to a powerful upside move.

The bullish situations may propel Bitcoin worth past the log channel median, and towards the crimson zone of the channel. Targets for the tip of the cycle can be upwards of $125,000 based mostly on the present location of the higher boundary, however as time progresses this peak step by step strikes increased.

Markets are cyclical, and historical past usually repeats. When it doesn’t, it nonetheless usually rhymes. And whereas previous efficiency doesn’t assure future outcomes, according to Sir John Templeton, the 4 most costly phrases in investing are “this time it’s different.”

Will Bitcoin blast off towards $125,000 and better from right here?

The similarities between #Bitcoin in 2013 and 2021 proceed to develop. Peak shall be in crimson. Currently round $125,000. I are likely to assume $144,000 when it is all stated and carried out. pic.twitter.com/4IU504uxPt

— Tony “The Bull” Spilotro (@tonyspilotroBTC) August 23, 2021

Follow @TonySpilotroBTC on Twitter or through the TonyTradesBTC Telegram. Content is academic and shouldn’t be thought of funding recommendation.

Featured picture from iStockPhoto, Charts from Buying and sellingView.com

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