Napoved cene zlata: XAU/USD ostaja v razponu nad 2,020 $ v napornem tednu političnih sestankov

DELI:

• Cena zlata se pred zasedanjem japonske centralne banke (BoJ) drži razpona blizu 2,021 dolarjev.
• Uradniki Federal Reserve (Fed) so nakazali, da se jim ne mudi z znižanjem obrestnih mer, tudi če bodo zvišanja verjetno končana.
• Januarski indeks proizvodnje ameriških zveznih bank Richmond Fed bo objavljen v torek.

Gold price (XAU/USD) clings to the range-bound theme during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Markets turn cautious ahead of a busy week of policy meetings with many central banks, including the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Meanwhile, the ameriški dolar Index (DXY) moves in a tight range around 103.32. The US Treasury yield consolidates its gains, with the 10-year yield standing at 4.10%. At press time, the gold price is trading at $2,021, up 0.03% for the day.

Trg terminskih pogodb Fed Funds ne vidi nobene spremembe pri določanju obrestnih mer od sestanka Zveznega odbora za odprti trg 30. do 31. januarja. Vendar pa vlagatelji zmanjšujejo obete za umiritev na pet četrtin odstotnih točk s prejšnjih šestih. Glede na orodje CME FedWatch Tool so možnosti za znižanje obrestne mere na marčevskem srečanju padle na 42 %, kar je strm padec s 70 % pred tednom dni.

Furthermore, the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, John Williams, and Rafael Bostič, indicated that they are in no hurry to cut the rate, even if the hikes are probably done.

The highlight this week will be the US Bruto domači proizvod (GDP) for Q4 on Thursday and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Coe PCE) on Friday. The weaker US data is likely to convince the Fed to tilt toward the dovish side and cap the downside of the gold price. Ahead of the key US event, the US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for January will be released later on Tuesday.

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• vir: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gold-price-forecast-xau-usd-remains-range-bound-above-2-020-in-a-busy-week-of-policy-meetings-202401222309