Euro crește pe măsură ce inflația germană scade – MarketPulse

• Inflația germană scade la 3.8%
• Eurozone inflation expected to follow suit on Wednesday

The euro is in positive territory on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0502, up 0.36%.

German inflation slides

Germany’s consumer inflation dropped to 3.8% y/y in October, down sharply from 4.5% in September and below the market consensus of 4.0%. Food and energy prices decreased, which contributed to the inflation print being the lowest since August 2021. Core inflation dropped from 4.6% to 4.3%.

The inflation data is an encouraging sign for the ECB, which paused interest rates last week after 10 consecutive increases. ECB President Lagarde said after the meeting that a pause did not mean that hikes were off the table and poured cold water on any thoughts of a rate cut. Lagarde doesn’t want to commit to rates having peaked, but the ECB would be happy to hold rates, given the worrying growth outlook for the bloc. Unless the economy suddenly rebounds or inflation rises, there is a strong chance that the rate-tightening cycle is over.

The eurozone will release the October inflation report on Tuesday and is expected to follow the German lead. Headline inflation is projected to fall to 3.1%, down from 4.3% in October, while the core rate is expected to fall from 4.5% to 4.2%.

The Federal Reserve has sounded hawkish about inflation and received support for its stance from Friday’s core PCE price index, which rose 0.3% m/m in September, up from 0.1% in August and the highest level in four months. The headline indicator rose 0.4%, unchanged from August and above the estimate of 0.3%. There are some inflation risks heading into next year, but the markets have priced in pauses in the November and December meetings.

.

EUR / USD Tehnic

• EUR/USD testează rezistența la 1.0595. Următoarea linie de rezistență este 1.0664
• 1.0495 și 1.0426 oferă suport

Conținutul are doar scop informativ general. Nu este un sfat de investiții sau o soluție de cumpărare sau vânzare de valori mobiliare. Opiniile sunt autorii; nu neapărat cel al OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc. sau al oricăruia dintre afiliații, filialele, funcționarii sau directorii săi. Dacă doriți să reproduceți sau să redistribuiți orice conținut găsit pe MarketPulse, un serviciu premiat de analiză valutară, mărfuri și indici globali și site de știri, produs de OANDA Business Information & Services, Inc., vă rugăm să accesați fluxul RSS sau să ne contactați la info@marketpulse.com. Vizita https://www.marketpulse.com/ pentru a afla mai multe despre ritmul piețelor globale. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc.