Why Stocks In The Global South Are Key To Scaling Climate Solutions

Republished By Plato

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Much has been made of whether and how the stock market can meaningfully support climate action. Because most of the transactions occur in the secondary market, the buying and selling of shares of listed companies appear rather removed from the real economy where tangible decarbonization takes place.

While greenhouse gas emissions reduction is more traceable with a venture capital (VC) investment in a climate solutions company or a bank loan for a climate-friendly project or product, the stock market is not a neutral bystander in the climate crisis.

When it comes to causing harm, listed equities continue to prop up the fossil fuel and deforestation industries by providing a means to make money from injustice. For example, in the first two weeks after the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the prices of oil, coal and gas increased by roughly 40 percent, 130 percent and 180 percent in Europe, respectively; this enabled fossil fuel stock market investors to benefit from the appreciation of stock prices and potentially higher dividends.

On the climate positive side, the existence of the stock market increases the number and quality of climate solutions companies. Because VC investors look forward to exit events, whereby they liquidate their equity position in a startup to achieve returns, the initial public offering (IPO) is one of the main ways to attract such investors. The absence of a stock market would therefore limit the universe of new climate companies, as fewer VC funds would be willing to invest in climate startups. The stock market also increases the opportunities for climate solutions to scale by increasing investment during an IPO and signaling to other forms of capital, such as bank lending, that a company is creditworthy. This is why facilitating capital formation, one of the three core mandates of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), is vital for climate action.

Carbon Collective, an investment product developer and asset manager that allows retirement accounts, brokerage accounts and trusts to invest in climate-friendly stock and bond portfolios, created the Carbon Collective Climate Solutions U.S. Equities ETF. The underlying research to create the exchange-traded fund uses the Project Drawdown solution list and is publicly available and searchable via a database. In total, the U.S. climate stock list has 186 companies that pass an exclusionary filter, meaning that the companies generate at least half of their revenue from climate solutions, and 129 climate pure play companies. The existence of such an ETF, and the fact that the universe of investable opportunities is rich, paints a picture that the U.S. market is somewhat active in scaling climate solutions.

The trouble is most humans are not U.S.-based, and most economic activity takes place outside of the U.S. If the world is to sufficiently invest in a viable planet, investors and lenders will have to back climate solutions companies globally, notably where most people live — the Global South, also known as the Global Majority.

In its recent database update, Carbon Collective has added climate companies listed in the Global Majority. Although not yet covering the entire world, the climate solutions stocks database now includes three additional regions: the African Union (AU), the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC). These economic zones represent $3 trillion, $3.3 trillion, and $7 trillion in annual GDP, respectively and in total represent a population of 2.7 billion.

If the world is to sufficiently invest in a viable planet, investors and lenders will have to back climate solutions companies globally, notably where most people live — the Global South, also known as the Global Majority.

The companies listed on the AU, ASEAN and CELAC stock exchanges were 1,034, 3,373, and 1,611, respectively; in the U.S., there is a universe of 4,500 companies. The companies in the selected Global Majority regions were also tilted toward basic manufacturing, with ASEAN oriented more toward manufacturing, CELAC oriented more toward agriculture and commodities, and the AU oriented more toward grid expansion.

There were companies that at first glance appeared to be climate friendly but did not pass muster with Carbon Collective’s methodology, which includes removing any company that does not generate at least half of its revenue from climate solutions, removing companies that have been credibly accused of fraud, and including companies that build a climate solution found in Project Drawdown. For example, Carbon Collective evaluated a battery company in Jamaica — previously home to the world’s best-performing stock market in recent years — but unfortunately this company made almost 100 percent of its revenue from selling car batteries for internal combustion engine-based cars (and not electric cars). In the AU, only 21 companies passed the filters. Companies listed and headquartered in South Africa provided some interesting examples: Metair provides battery systems to help deal with the unstable electrical grid; Mpact makes paper products from over 50 percent recycled materials; most other South African companies cover solar, low-carbon energy related mining, and grid expansion largely based on copper wiring.

As Carbon Collective founder Zach Stein expressed, "Many of the economies in the Global Majority are rapidly expanding. That’s a good thing. But these economies need to grow on clean rather than fossil fuel energy. This research underscores the amount of work yet to be done to bridge the gap between the current map of climate solutions. We believe that supporting capital formation and the resulting profits remaining in-country will help accelerate climate solutions to meet the scale of the moment, while improving the dynamism of the global economy."

Another global climate conference, COP28, is taking place in Dubai after another year of insufficient action toward financing climate solutions for the Global Majority. Clarification of Article 2.1(c) of the Paris Agreement, which states that finance flows should be "consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and climate-resilient development," would be a helpful outcome at this year’s climate conference. For example, mandating that listed companies disclose their GHG emissions and that stock exchanges facilitate climate capital formation would be aligned with Paris goals. It’s time for market participants to take sufficient action by investing in Global Majority capital markets for climate solutions companies, such as the ones listed by Carbon Collective, and to support financing climate companies from early to late stage.