Gil Luria, director of research at D.A. Davidson, talks about Coinbase’s performance on its first day as a public company. In this episode, Gil discusses:
- the significance of Coinbase going public (1:05)
- why doing a direct listing was a risky move (1:31)
- why he revised his price target for COIN from $440 to $650 (3:17)
- how investing in COIN as a “pure play” crypto company compares to buying stock in companies like MicroStrategy and Square (5:06)
- why some people are disrupting Coinbase’s actual market cap (7:11)
- whether Coinbase can smooth out revenue over the long term and not be so correlated to the crypto markets themselves(10:45)
- what sort of statistics Gil is looking for in valuing Coinbase (13:08)
- why Gil thinks Coinbase can meet its goal of growing non-transaction revenue from 4% to 50% in five to ten years (15:32)
- how Coinbase could navigate the compression of fees that will occur as competition increases among exchanges (17:33)
- whether Coinbase’s stance as an apolitical company could affect the stock price in an era in which companies are getting involved in issues like voting rights (19:45)
- whether the Bitcoin price and COIN stock price will always be highly correlated (21:18)
- which other crypto companies are good candidates for going public as well (22:35)
- weekly news recap (24:03)
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Episode links:
Gil Luria
- Twitter profile: https://twitter.com/gilluria
- Introducing Crypto’s Amazon Moment (written by Gil): https://unchainedpodcast.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/DA-Davidson-Coinbase-Initiation-20210302.pdf
- 2013 Quote from Gil on Bitcoin: https://www.streetinsider.com/Analyst+Comments/Bitcoin+Could+Be+Worth+10-100x+Current+Price+-+Analyst/8936836.html
- Previous Unchained Appearance: https://unchainedpodcast.com/is-coinbase-stock-a-good-buy-this-analyst-says-yes/
Related Content
- Ellie Frost Blog:
- Tweet Thread on Market Cap Discrepancy w/ Comment From Jeff Dorman
- Forbes Coverage of Coinbase Direct Listing:
-
- https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2021/04/14/coinbase-skyrockets-in-nasdaq-listing-landing-105-billion-valuation-on-first-day-of-trading/?sh=3afb44928dc1
- https://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffkauflin/2021/04/14/coinbases-ipo-creates-a-multibillion-dollar-windfall-for-founders-now-it-faces-five-big-threats/?sh=13405d8e61ff
- Brian Armstrong CNBC Interview on Transaction Fees:
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- Source: https://unchainedpodcast.com/why-this-analyst-puts-coinbase-in-the-most-exclusive-club-of-stocks/
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