PE11: Exponential trend percentiles on gold price

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Donations to Porkopolis Economics via BTCPay appreciated: https://donations.porkopolis.io/ This is the eleventh video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast. Contents
00:00 Intro
01:30 Gold fits exponential trendline (75% R-squared)
02:20 ‘Brown’s Bottom’
04:15 Exponential regression trendline
05:30 Standard deviation basics
06:34 Exponential regression trendline
07:50 One sigma around trendline (66th percentile)
13:10 Two sigma around trendline (95th percentile)
15:30 Log scale
24:41 Gold price suppression?
26:31 Compound annual growth rate of gold price (7.7%) Here we run and explain an exponential trendline over the last 50+ years of gold price data, and run percentile bands (standard deviations) around the regression. Coefficients:
y = a * EXP (b * x)
y = y-intercept * EXP (slope * x)
y = 133 * EXP (0.41% * x) https://porkopolis.io
https://twitter.com/crypto_voices Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.

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• Source: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/porkopolis/episodes/PE11-Exponential-trend-percentiles-on-gold-price-e1ttaol