[ASL16] Ro24 Preview Pt1: Old Friends

Controlled Chaos

Something funny about Mini being in Group A, one must wonder if its a great joke played on us by Afreeca, just to go through some ASL history here, Mini for the start of his tournament run has been in Group A of the Ro24 for the last 3 seasons, and the two seasons before that when he was seeded into the Ro16, he was in Group A there too. Afreeca truly believes you can’t start a round in this tournament without Mini.

Coincidences aside, Mini has been a major proleague workhorse whos on the lineup almost everyday, he should have a lot of confidence in this season’s map pool, assuming the Group A jinx(maybe some would just attribute it to Ro24 being Bo1s) doesn’t factor into it, he should take the group with ease especially with his first opponent being Leta.

Leta makes his first ASL appearance since ASL 12 and that about sums up any expectations people can have of him, which while not a lot, some of his fans can still hold out hope that anything can happen in a Bo1.

Mong also falls in the same category of Leta, last season he didn’t manage to make much of an impression falling swiftly 0-2 in the Ro24, at the very least he can beat leta for season points to improve his tier standing giving him a more favourable group next time.

Finally bringing us to soma, inconsistent and momentum based player that he is in the ASL, when he does well he really does well, in a lot of ways he is very much the zerg mini, except it doesn’t obviously show in his face how tilted he can get, a volatile player in the most volatile part of the tournament is bound to be a cause for concern, however he also one of the best performing zergs in the Major Proleague with a very good 58.3% winrate in Major Proleague(Link) so he should be able to at the very least beat Leta and Mong without issue if not Mini.

Mini and Soma to Advance to the Ro16!

A Great Voyage

Soulkey definitely hit the jackpot here by somehow ending up in a group of semi active competitors or at the very least Soulkey is the only one in the group who’s on the proper major proleague grind with top 15 results, for that reason he remains most likely to take the group and move on, even if not first.

Calm’s last ASL was season 8 and still not the biggest gap in this group, Calm did gain a lot of popularity during Starcraft University events, but a variety streamer event doesn’t really instil a lot of confidence in him getting out.

Rain is a true wildcard, I can firmly believe that even after his hiatus after making the finals of ASL13 that he can still be the best player in the group, he is genuinely that good at starcraft, I give soulkey the edge for just being more overall active but honestly not by much, the only thing he can do to surprise me is to actually not make it out of the group especially with the makeup of it.

And finally we get the return of Sea, who was last seen in the ASL during season 6, 10 seasons! 5 whole years since we’ve last seen Sea even make it to the Ro24, though a lot of it could be attributed to not trying as Sea is a very popular streamer and many assumed has long since given up any interest in competing, Sea has always remained a very popular player, he’s been an ASL finalist too way back in season 2, while I doubt he’ll make it past this group, I won’t be surprised if this is the highest viewed group on Afreeca for Ro24.

Rain and Soulkey To Advance to the Ro16!

Stage Fright

Snow and RoyaL being in the same group in the Ro24 while both are arguably Tier 1 players who should be in separate groups shows just how stacked this season is looking and serves as a preview for what is to be expected.

Snow is one of the best protoss players out there, he’s also one of the most frustrating players to root for, right now he stands at the top of the Major Proleague standings with a near 70% winrate, multiple proleague days MVP and has a few all kills, now I have very little doubt he’ll lose a game in this group let alone get eliminated, but his history in the tournament makes it very hard to ignore to possibility.

For now though he should be able to overcome his group.

Killer is back in the ASL since season 10, he’s been semi-active overall, hopefully he shows some good games but it seems like he’s going to have a quick exit in the tournament as far as the rest of this group goes.

RoyaL despite winning ASL14 a mere 10 months ago still doesn’t have enough ASL points to be considered Tier 1, which is how he landed in this group, that the second best performing Terran in the Major Proleague, and on a good day one of the best players in the world still hasn’t made enough consistent deep runs in the ASL, this is the season to remedy that and this group is as good a start as any.

Shuttle is an enigma, probably one of worst person your favourite can have in his group for his sheer ability to just win those Bo1 games when it matters, known for tryharding the daily Major Proleague games without dropping down to K-League, he currently stands at one of the lowest (37.8% As of August 1st) winrates among his peers but he’s won with worse rates in the ASL.

This is Snow and RoyaL’s group for sure but this has the most probability for disruption.

Snow and Royal to Advance to the Ro16!