Analyse technique GBPUSD – Niveaux clés en jeu avant la décision de la BoE | Forexlive

USD

• La Fed a laissé ses taux inchangés comme prévu
  while dropping the tightening bias in the statement but adding a slight
  pushback against a March rate cut.
• Fed Chair Powell stressed that they want to see
  more evidence of inflation falling back to target and that a rate cut in March
  is not their base case.
• The latest US GDP beat expectations by a big
  marge.
• The US PCE came mostly in line with
  expectations with the Core 3-month and 6-month annualised rates falling below
  l'objectif de 2% de la Fed.
• The US Job Openings surprised to the upside
  although the hiring and quit rates remain below pre-pandemic levels.
• The latest US PMIs beat expectations by a
  big margin for both the Manufacturing and Services measures.
• The US Retail Sales beat expectations
  à tous les niveaux.
• The US Consumer Confidence report came in
  line with expectations, but the labour market details improved considerably.
• Le marché s'attend désormais à une première baisse des taux en mai.

GBP

• The BoE left interest rates
  unchanged as expected at the last meeting with no dovish language as they
  reaffirmed that they will keep rates high for sufficiently long to return to
  the 2% target.
• The latest employment report showed
  job losses in December and lower than expected wage growth.
• The UK CPI beat expectations across
  the board, which is going to reinforce the BoE’s neutral stance.
• The latest UK PMIs showed the
  Manufacturing sector improving but remaining in contraction while the Services
  sector continues to expand.
• The latest UK Retail Sales missed
  attentes dans tous les domaines, car les dépenses de consommation restent
  faible.
• The market expects the BoE to start
  cutting rates in May.

Analyse technique GBPUSD –
Calendrier quotidien

Sur le graphique journalier, nous pouvons voir que GBPUSD keeps trading inside the range
between the 1.2610 support and 1.2800 resistance. The price is currently
approaching the support level where we can expect the buyers to step in with a
defined risk below the level to position for another rally into the resistance.
Les vendeurs, en revanche, voudront voir le prix baisser à
invalidate the bullish setup and position for a drop into the next support
around the 1.25 handle.

Analyse technique GBPUSD –
Délai de 4 heures

Sur le graphique de 4 heures, nous pouvons voir que le prix
yesterday rallied into the downward trendline and got rejected as the sellers
stepped in to position for a drop into the support. The momentum then picked up
as the Fed resulted a bit more hawkish than expected and today, we can expect
some action around the support as we get the BoE rate decision and some key US
revendre.

Analyse technique GBPUSD –
Délai de 1 heures

Sur le graphique de 1 heure, nous pouvons voir que nous
have a steep downward trendline defining the current bearish impulse. If we do
see a bounce from the support, we can expect even more buyers piling in on a
break above the trendline as a confirmation for a change in momentum.

Événements à venir

Today we have the BoE rate
decision where the central bank is expected to keep everything unchanged and
later on, we will see the latest US Jobless Claims figures and the ISM
Manufacturing PMI. Tomorrow, we conclude the week with the US NFP report.

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• La source: https://www.forexlive.com/technical-analysis/gbpusd-technical-analysis-key-levels-in-play-ahead-of-the-boe-decision-20240201/