USD/JPY hoiab üle 148.00 märgi, investorid ootavad BoJ kursi otsust

USD/JPY hoiab üle 148.00 märgi, investorid ootavad BoJ kursi otsust

Allikasõlm: 3078504

Jaga:

  • USD/JPY püsib Greenbacki konsolideerimisel 148.08 ümber.
  • Kauplejad teevad madalamaid panuseid Föderaalreservi (Fed) intresside alandamiseks 2024. aastal.
  • Eeldatakse, et Jaapani keskpank (BoJ) hoiab YCC ja intressimäärad muutumatuna.

USD/JPY paar kaupleb teisipäevase varajases Aasia sessioonis kolmandat päeva järjest negatiivsel territooriumil. Greenbacki ja USA tootluste konsolideerumine mõjutab USD/JPY vahetust võtmesündmuse eel. Turuosalised jälgivad tähelepanelikult teisipäeval toimuvat Jaapani keskpanga (BoJ) rahapoliitika koosolekut. Paar kaupleb hetkel 148.08 ringis, mis on päeva jooksul 0.03% tõus.

Traders place lower bets for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024. They stand at 142 basis points (bps) of cuts from 175 bps last week. The markets are pricing in 42% odds that the Fed could lower määrasid in March, a slide from 70% just a week ago, according to the CME’s Toidetud watch tool. This, in turn, lends some support to the US dollar (USD) and acts as a tailwind for USD/JPY.

On the Japanese Yen front, the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain the YCC and interest rates unchanged at its January meeting on Tuesday. Traders will take more cues from the press conference. BoJ’s Governor Kazuo Ueda might offer some hints about when and how the ‘normalization’ process and eventual shift away from negative interest rates will unfold this year. Last week, Japan’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.3% in December 2023 from 2.5% in November. The report further undermined the odds of a shift in the current monetary policy.

The BoJ interest rate decision and the press conference will be in the spotlight on Tuesday. This event is likely to trigger volatility in the market. Later this week, attention to shift to the US Sisemajanduse koguprodukt (GDP) for Q4, due on Thursday, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) on Friday. These data and events could keep a clear direction for the USD / JPY paari.

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