黄金价格预测：在繁忙的一周政策会议中，XAU/美元仍维持在 2,020 美元上方区间波动

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• 在日本央行 (BoJ) 会议之前，金价维持在 2,021 美元附近的区间波动。
• 美联储(Fed)官员表示，即使加息可能已经完成，他们也不急于降息。
• 美国一月份里士满联储制造业指数将于周二公布。

黄金 price (XAU/USD) clings to the range-bound theme during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Markets turn cautious ahead of a busy week of policy meetings with many central banks, including the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Meanwhile, the 美元 Index (DXY) moves in a tight range around 103.32. The US Treasury yield consolidates its gains, with the 10-year yield standing at 4.10%. At press time, the gold price is trading at $2,021, up 0.03% for the day.

联邦基金期货市场认为，与 30 月 31 日至 42 日联邦公开市场委员会会议相比，利率设定没有变化。然而，投资者将宽松政策的前景从之前的六个百分点下调至五个百分点。根据 CME FedWatch 工具，70 月份会议降息的可能性降至 XNUMX%，较一周前的 XNUMX% 大幅下滑。

Furthermore, the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, John Williams, and 拉斐尔·波斯蒂奇（Raphael Bostic）, indicated that they are in no hurry to cut the rate, even if the hikes are probably done.

The highlight this week will be the US 国内生产总值 (GDP) for Q4 on Thursday and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Coe PCE) on Friday. The weaker US data is likely to convince the Fed to tilt toward the dovish side and cap the downside of the gold price. Ahead of the key US event, the US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for January will be released later on Tuesday.

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• Sumber: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gold-price-forecast-xau-usd-remains-range-bound-above-2-020-in-a-busy-week-of-policy-meetings-202401222309