USD/JPY håller över 148.00-strecket, investerare avvaktar BoJ-räntebeslut

USD/JPY håller över 148.00-strecket, investerare avvaktar BoJ-räntebeslut

Källnod: 3078504

Dela med sig:

  • USD/JPY svävar runt 148.08 på konsolideringen av greenbacken.
  • Handlare lägger lägre satsningar på räntesänkningar från Federal Reserve (Fed) 2024.
  • Bank of Japan (BoJ) förväntas behålla YCC och räntor oförändrade.

USD/JPY-paret handlas i negativt territorium för tredje dagen i rad under den tidiga asiatiska sessionen på tisdagen. Konsolideringen av greenback- och amerikanska räntorna tynger USD/JPY inför den viktigaste händelsen. Marknadsaktörer kommer noga att övervaka Bank of Japans (BoJ) penningpolitiska möte på tisdag. Paret handlas för närvarande runt 148.08, upp 0.03% under dagen.

Traders place lower bets for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024. They stand at 142 basis points (bps) of cuts from 175 bps last week. The markets are pricing in 42% odds that the Fed could lower skattesatser in March, a slide from 70% just a week ago, according to the CME’s Fed watch tool. This, in turn, lends some support to the Amerikanska dollar (USD) and acts as a tailwind for USD/JPY.

On the Japanese Yen front, the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain the YCC and interest rates unchanged at its January meeting on Tuesday. Traders will take more cues from the press conference. BoJ’s Governor Kazuo Ueda might offer some hints about when and how the ‘normalization’ process and eventual shift away from negative interest rates will unfold this year. Last week, Japan’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.3% in December 2023 from 2.5% in November. The report further undermined the odds of a shift in the current monetary policy.

The BoJ interest rate decision and the press conference will be in the spotlight on Tuesday. This event is likely to trigger volatility in the market. Later this week, attention to shift to the US Bruttonationalprodukt (GDP) for Q4, due on Thursday, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) on Friday. These data and events could keep a clear direction for the USD / JPY par.

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