USD/JPY se drži nad mejo 148.00, vlagatelji čakajo na odločitev BoJ tečaja

DELI:

• USD/JPY se giblje okoli 148.08 ob konsolidaciji ameriškega dolarja.
• Trgovci dajejo nižje stave za znižanje obrestnih mer Federal Reserve (Fed) leta 2024.
• Pričakuje se, da bo Banka Japonske (BoJ) ohranila YCC in obrestne mere nespremenjene.

Par USD/JPY že tretji dan zapored med zgodnjo azijsko sejo v torek trguje v negativnem območju. Konsolidacija donosa dolarja in ameriškega donosa obremenjuje USD/JPY pred ključnim dogodkom. Akterji na trgu bodo v torek pozorno spremljali zasedanje o denarni politiki Banke Japonske (BoJ). Par trenutno trguje okoli 148.08, kar je 0.03% več kot dan.

Traders place lower bets for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024. They stand at 142 basis points (bps) of cuts from 175 bps last week. The markets are pricing in 42% odds that the Fed could lower cene in March, a slide from 70% just a week ago, according to the CME’s Fed watch tool. This, in turn, lends some support to the ameriški dolar (USD) and acts as a tailwind for USD/JPY.

On the Japanese Yen front, the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain the YCC and interest rates unchanged at its January meeting on Tuesday. Traders will take more cues from the press conference. BoJ’s Governor Kazuo Ueda might offer some hints about when and how the ‘normalization’ process and eventual shift away from negative interest rates will unfold this year. Last week, Japan’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.3% in December 2023 from 2.5% in November. The report further undermined the odds of a shift in the current monetary policy.

The BoJ interest rate decision and the press conference will be in the spotlight on Tuesday. This event is likely to trigger volatility in the market. Later this week, attention to shift to the US Bruto domači proizvod (GDP) for Q4, due on Thursday, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) on Friday. These data and events could keep a clear direction for the USD / JPY par.

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• vir: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-holds-above-the-14800-mark-investors-await-boj-rate-decision-202401222346