Zlato in bitcoin zaradi bančnih skrbi naraščata, nafta pa se spotika

Zlato in bitcoin zaradi bančnih skrbi naraščata, nafta pa se spotika

Časovni žig: 2. maj 2023 3:40
Izvorno vozlišče: 2624944

  • Low trading volumes and a deteriorating outlook send oil prices sharply lower
  • Gold surges above $2000 level as banking concerns return
  • Bitcoin still capped by $30,000 level

Olje

It got ugly a lot faster than any oil trader expected. ​ Energy traders were turning constructive, even last week, the recent oil bear, Citi’s Ed Morse said ‘were close to a bottom in oil prices.’ Oil is in the danger zone as the banking crisis is crippling the short-term outlook for the economy and driving fears that we could be recession bound a lot faster.

Oil basically has weakening prospects from the world’s two largest economies, China and the US, and if the macro backdrop deteriorates, momentum selling could easily send prices below the $70 level.

Gold

Gold prices were in the danger zone, but the return to banking crisis fears has triggered a flight-to-safety. ​ We didn’t get a chance to enjoy a short period of calm following the JPMorgan deal for First Republic’s assets. ​ Bond market chaos is seeing yields plunge, which is taking away all the risks of the Fed tightening beyond this week.

Gold will remain a volatile trade, especially if it refuses to take the bait and keep all options on the table for the June meeting. ​ Recession fears are growing and financial stability concerns should give the Fed permission to signal they are ready to pause after delivering one last rate hike. ​ The debate to not even hike might lead some dissents tomorrow, which is something we have not seen.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin is back as banking jitters quickly return. Bitcoin is up 3% on the day, but still seems capped by the $30,000 level. ​ Today’s banking turmoil was somewhat expected to happen over the coming months, not the following day from a massive bank rescue. ​ Bitcoin is becoming appealing again given how bad financials are getting hit. ​ ​ ​

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Ed Moya

Ed Moya

Višji tržni analitik, Amerika at OANDA

Ed Moya je z več kot 20-letnimi izkušnjami na področju trgovanja višji tržni analitik pri OANDA, ki izdeluje najnovejšo analizo med trgi, pokriva geopolitične dogodke, politike centralne banke in se odziva trga na novice podjetij. Njegovo posebno znanje se nanaša na široko paleto razredov premoženja, vključno z deviznimi sredstvi, blagom, fiksnim dohodkom, delnicami in kriptovalutami. Ed je v svoji karieri sodeloval z nekaterimi vodilnimi posredniki na forexu, raziskovalnimi skupinami in oddelki za novice na Wall Streetu, vključno z Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions in Trading Advantage. Nazadnje je sodeloval s trgovino TradeTheNews.com, kjer je zagotovil tržno analizo ekonomskih podatkov in poslovnih novic. Ed s sedežem v New Yorku je redni gost več večjih finančnih televizijskih omrežij, vključno s CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business in Sky TV. Njegovim stališčem zaupajo najbolj znane svetovne medijske hiše, med njimi Reuters, Bloomberg in Associated Press, redno pa ga citirajo v vodilnih publikacijah, kot so MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Breitbart, The New York Times in The Wall Street Journal. Ed je diplomiral iz ekonomije na univerzi Rutgers.
Ed Moya
Ed Moya

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