Bitcoin: nakup ali prodaja najvišjih vrednosti?

Časovni žig: 20. oktober 2021 5
Izvorno vozlišče: 1187730

Most traders view new highs one of two ways:

  1. Buy a market that’s performing better than ever!
  2. Sell a market at its greatest premium ever!

Last week, Small Stocks posted new highs for the last decade, natural gas did the same for the last decade, and Bitcoin blew out highs for the last several months to the tune of a 35% rise since September 29th.* So, should you buy or sell?

Highs in Stocks, Natural Gas, and Bitcoin

Vir: Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/) in dxFeed Index Services (https://indexit.dxfeed.com)

Bitcoin’s Price (Re)Action at Highs

How a market has historically traded at highs could help in deciding on a strategy once they’ve made new highs. Bitcoin poses an interesting trend, whereby it moves lower in the days following a high but extends much higher afterwards, on average.

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Bitcoin’s Average Move After New High in 2021

Naslednji dan Naslednji teden Next Month -$125 - $ 360 + $ 2,900

Vir: Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/) od 10

This type of price action can pose an interesting contrarian play for traders in the short term and trend trade for those looking through a long-term lens. Though the jury’s out on the next month of movement, Bitcoin did in fact reverse after last week’s highs.

Bitcoin’s Price Risk at Highs

But averages aren’t guarantees. Contrarians and trend followers alike should assess the risk around these averages, which is thousands of dollars.

Bitcoin’s Standard Deviation After New High in 2021
Naslednji dan Naslednji teden Naslednji mesec
+/-1,800 USD +/-5,600 USD +/-6,600 USD

Vir: Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/) od 10

The amount of risk doesn’t necessarily sterilize the edge that the averages might present, but, rather, it can be a reason to lessen your exposure to the edge.

Bitcoin is not lacking in the opportunity department, but it has only recently seen the arrival of smaller, more accessible products with Small Crypto futures.

*Futures data from Yahoo! Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/) and dxFeed (https://indexit.dxfeed.com) as of 10/7/21

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© 2021 Small Exchange, Inc. Vse pravice pridržane. Small Exchange, Inc. je imenovani pogodbeni trg, registriran pri ameriški komisiji za trgovanje z blagovnimi terminskimi pogodbami. Informacije v tem oglasu so aktualne na navedeni datum, so samo informativne narave in ne obravnavajo finančnih ciljev, situacije ali posebnih potreb katerega koli posameznega vlagatelja. Trgovanje s terminskimi pogodbami vključuje tveganje izgube, vključno z možnostjo izgube, ki je večja od vaše začetne naložbe.

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Source: https://www.danielstrading.com/2021/10/20/bitcoin-buy-or-sell-the-highs

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